Unleashed delusion
The ABC has given the soap-box to the lunatic fringe of the Liberal Party, with Julian Barendse’s foray into voodoo election commentary.
Two marginal seats in which the ALP appears to be facing a particularly tough battle are the seats of Deakin in Victoria, and Boothby in South Australia. Both these seats are held by members of the Liberal class of ‘96 and (according to the betting markets) are holding up well in their respective fights for re-election.
The pendulum puts Bennelong as the final seat needed for Labor to win. The two seats noted by Barendse as “encouraging” in so far as the seat by seat odds go, are both past the 4.1% swing needed by Labor to win (Deakin at 5.0% and Boothby at 5.4%).
Even if Labor didn’t win Deakin and Boothby (but was in the range of 5% or so), it could still pick up McMillan and Corangamite.
I’m sure I also don’t need to remind Barendse that the amounts being bet on the seat by seats markets is almost negligible. It’ll be much closer to 24 Nov before real money is bet on individuals seats to make the odds relevant.
As Unleashed commenter William says:
“Unleashed” has promised us satire as well as commentary. I can only presume that this is satire…
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